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HomeMy WebLinkAbout3. 2014 Mid-Year Review & Update of the 2015 Budget Forecast 08/12/2014Ik Mount Prospect Village of Mount Prospect Mount Prospect, Illinois INTEROFFICE MEMORANDUM TO: MICHAEL E. JANONIS, VILLAGE MANAGER FROM: FINANCE DIRECTOR DATE AUGUST 7, 2014 SUBJECT: 2014 MID -YEAR REVIEW AND UPDATE OF THE 2015 BUDGET FORECAST Each year, the Finance Department holds a joint workshop with the Village Board and Finance Commission earlier in the year to present a first- quarter review that includes a wrap -up of the prior year's activity and insight into early trends for the current fiscal year. The Finance Department also prepares for the Village Board and Finance Commission a mid -year review of the financial status of the current year's budget and a forecast for the upcoming year. This practice provides a solid foundation for preparation of the upcoming annual budget. This memorandum is intended to supplement the June 30, 2014 financial reports that were submitted to the Village Board previously. The sole focus of this memorandum is on the General Fund, since it is the main operating fund of the Village. It should be pointed out that current estimates of revenues and expenditures for 2014 are fluid and may change during the remaining six months of the fiscal year. 2014 MID -YEAR REVIEW GENERALFUND The 2014 General Fund as approved by the Village Board in December 2013 was balanced and totaled $45,814,066. The General Fund budget was amended in March to account for carry- over items from the prior year's budget and unanticipated expenses. Adjustments to General Fund expenses were made in various areas totaling $201,648 bringing total General Fund expenditures to $46,015,714. No adjustments have been made to revenues at this time. The amended budget currently reflects a deficit of $201,648. As part of the mid -year review, we looked at all revenue and expenditure accounts to determine if any material variances were likely. We now expect total General Fund revenues to come in at $46,381,566, an increase of $567,500 over the amended budget. Total expenditures are expected to come in at $46,283,714. Taking into consideration adjusted revenues and expenses; the General Fund is now showing a surplus of $97,852. Exhibit I presents a summary of our current projections of revenues and expenditures, with a comparison to the amended budget. Mid -Year Budget Review August 7, 2014 Page 2 General Fund Revenues: General Fund revenues at June 30, 2010 were $17,968,286. This accounts for 39.2% of the amended budget and 38.7% of the current estimate. Being below 50% at mid -year is not a concern as receipt of several significant revenue sources by the Village lag one to three months. These revenue sources include sales tax, income tax, utility taxes and other intergovernmental revenues. State income taxes and the real estate transfer tax continue to rebound from recent lows. The State telecommunication tax, which accounts for almost 6% of the General Fund budget, has steadily declined over the past three years. It is anticipated that this revenue source will fall $700,000 below the original budget amount of $2.6 million. General Fund Revenue Collections as a Percent of Annual Budget 100% 75% d U 50% d 25% 0% Revenue Type Ise lo The preceding chart illustrates the percent of revenues received by the Village in several categories as of June 30. The current year -end estimate for revenues is approximately 1.2% above the amended budget. Property tax revenues (for both the general and pension allocation) of $7,390,527 are running at 50.4% of budget. This is typical in that the first allotment of taxes received is 55% of the prior year receipts while the second allotment, which comes in later in the year, captures the levy increase approved in the current tax year. Our year -end estimate is at the amended budget amount. The average collection rate for property taxes since levy year 2003 is 98.2 %. Revenues classified as "Other Taxes" include sources such as the one - quarter cent home rule sales tax, food and beverage tax, real estate transfer tax, hotel /motel tax, telecommunications tax and the electric and gas utility taxes. In total, revenue collections from "Other Taxes" came to $2,811,168 as of June 30, which is 34.1 % of annual budget. Again, this is a category where there is a lag in receipt of two of the more significant revenues (home -rule sales tax and telecommunications tax). H:\ACCT\BUDGET\Budget 2014 \Q1 and Mid -Year Review \Mid- Year \VB Mid -Year Review Memo - Aug 2014 COW.docx Mid -Year Budget Review August 7, 2014 Page 3 The Village's home rule sales tax is tracking the prior year through the first six months of the year (three months of receipts). Receipts from the home rule sales tax are expected to come in at budget by years end. Receipts from the real estate transfer tax have grown as a result of an improving housing market. Several large property transfers have taken place during the first six months of the year. While transfer tax receipts continue to be off from their high level point in 2005, projected receipts for this tax are expected to total $800,000. Telecommunication taxes have declined in the past several years, most recently during 2013 and 2014. Through June 30, revenues from this source are 5.5% below prior year levels. Year- end projections are expected to come in short of budget by $700,000 continuing the downward trend. Collections from licenses and permit fees totaled $943,828, or 58.2% of the $1.6 million budget. Vehicle license revenue of $315,254 is at 92.4% of budget, which is expected given the timing for selling the 2014 -2015 vehicle sticker. Activity for this revenue is coming in as expected. No changes were made to year -end estimates for this category of revenues. Intergovernmental revenues totaled $5,482,101 as of June 30, which is 30.3% of the $18.1 million annual budget. Intergovernmental revenues in the General Fund include the local share of the state sales tax, state income tax, use tax, replacement tax and other miscellaneous state and federal grants. Sales tax collections, which make up approximately 63% of the "Intergovernmental" category, are at $2,909,927. This represents 25.6% of budget. The current projection for this revenue is $12,500,000. Year -to -date collections are running ahead original projections and have been adjusted upward $1.1 million. Receipts from the State's distribution of the state income tax totaled $1,855,025 at June 30. This is up 6.8% from the same period last year. Income taxes received since June 30 have not kept pace with the prior year. We currently expect income taxes to come in at budget by year end. Revenue from Fines totaled $234,621 for the first six months. This represents 47.8% of the $491,000 budgeted for the year. We expect this revenue to come in slightly below budget for 2014 ($440,000). Investment income totaled $2,419 for the first six months, representing 11.0% of the $22,500 projected for the year. Significantly lower rates paid for short-term investments have caused the amount budgeted for this revenue item to drop from over $400,000 in the early 2000's to where it is today. The year -end estimate has been lowered $12,500 to $10,000. Other Revenue, consisting of reimbursements and other revenues, totaled $398,896 as of June 30. This is 34.3% of the $1,164,500 budgeted for the year. We expect these revenues to come in slightly above budget for 2014 due to an insurance reimbursement for sprinkler flood damage. H:\ACC RBUDGE RBudget 2014 \Q1 and Mid -Year Review \Mid- Year \VB Mid -Year Review Memo - Aug 2014 COW.docx Mid -Year Budget Review August 7, 2014 Page 4 General Fund Expenditures: The amended 2014 budget totals $46,015,714. As of June 30 the Village had recorded expenditures of $21,455,181. This represents 46.6% of budget and is consistent with previous years. All of the departments are below the benchmark 50 %. The expense category "Other" includes expenses related to the sprinkler flood which skewed the mid -year figures for this item. The following chart illustrates General Fund expenditures as a percentage of annual budget at June 30. General Fund Expenditures as a Percent of Annual Budget Public Representation Manager's Office Television Services E Clerk's Office R L Amended Budget o L Finance IL $40,697,094 �c Comm. Dev. 2010 Human Services Q. 2011 °1 O Police Fire Public Works Other For the past several years, total General Fund expenditures have come in anywhere from one to three percent under budget. The chart below shows budget to actual expenditures since 2009. A 1.0% savings in expenditures for 2014 amounts to over $460,000. Savings can be used to offset shortfalls in revenue, reduce or eliminate a programmed budget deficit or cover an unanticipated expenditures that may occur during the year. If neither of these conditions exists, the savings go toward maintaining the General Fund fund balance. Year Amended Budget Actual Expenditures Variance 2009 $40,697,094 $40,571,714 0.30% 1.98% 2010 $40,961,030 $40,043,801 2011 $41,975,978 $40 2.83% 2012 $42,585,149 $41,858,267 1.71% 2013 $45,693,626 $44,516,038 2.58% H:\ACCT\BUDGET\Budget 2014 \Q1 and Mid -Year Review \Mid - Year \VB Mid -Year Review Memo - Aug 2014 COW.docx Mid -Year Budget Review August 7, 2014 Page 5 2015 FORECAST The 2014 Annual Budget included a forecast budget for the year 2015 for each operating and capital project fund. The purpose of this portion of this memorandum is to bring forward any material variances in revenues /expenditures now expected for the year 2015. GENERALFUND Exhibit II has been prepared to compare the original forecast numbers to our most recent estimates. The original forecast budget showed an operating deficit of $596,285 on revenues of $46,788,664 and expenditures totaling $47,384,949. Our more recent estimates now project a surplus of $262,715. Sales taxes are projected to come in above the forecast budget while the telecommunication tax is projected to come in below than forecast. Adjustments made to various revenue sources for licenses, fees, charges for service and fines /forfeits also contributed to the higher than forecast revenues. Revenues are now projected to come in at 47,647,664. This is $859,000 above the original forecast budget. General Fund Revenues: Below is an explanation of significant variances from the original budget forecast for 2015. The forecast for the state sales tax was increased $1.3 million based on prior year estimates. Prior projections anticipated lower growth over the two -year period 2014 -2015. The forecast for the Telecommunication Tax was decreased by $700,000 based on prior year estimates. The number of phone lines assessed this tax has steadily declined over the past several years. As such, no growth is anticipated from 2014 to 2015. General Fund Expenditures: At this time we are expecting expenditures for 2015 to remain consistent with the original forecast. The forecast budget reflects increases to contractual and commodities accounts of 2.0% from 2014 levels. This will be the starting point for departmental budgets. Any deviation above the forecast amount will need to include justifications for the increase. As mentioned earlier in this memo, the mid -year review and budget forecast update are intended to provide a foundation for preparation of the annual budget. Moving forward staff will incorporate directives and suggestions from the Village Board and Finance Commission for their 2015 budget proposals. Departmental review of proposed budgets begins in early September. Review of the 2015 proposed budget before the Finance Commission and Village Board will occur in October and November. Final approval is set for December. H:\ACCT\BUDGET\Budget 2014 \Q1 and Mid -Year Review \Mid - Year \VB Mid -Year Review Memo - Aug 2014 COW.docx Mid -Year Budget Review August 7, 2014 Page 6 BUDGET CALENDAR Exhibit III included with this memo is the 2015 budget calendar as presented in the current 2014 budget document. We will anticipate moving forward with the 2015 budget process according to this calendar. David O. Erb Finance Director Copy: Michael E. Janonis, Village Manager H:\ACCTI6UDGET\Budget 2014 \Q1 and Mid -Year Review \Mid - Year \VB Mid -Year Review Memo - Aug 2014 COW.docx Exhibit I Village of Mount Prospect, Illinois General Fund - Revenues and Expenditures 2014 Budget - Mid -Year Review Expenditures Public Representation (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) Village Manager's Office 2,817,368 2,633,208 1,212,928 2,833,208 Budget Television Services Division 169,139 2014 YTD Actual 2014 Variance - Village Clerk's Office 2013 Amended 01/01/14- Current Favorable Finance Department Actual Budget 6/30/2014 Estimate (Unfavorable) Revenues: 2,023,299 2,332,932 992,479 2,332,932 0 Property Taxes 12,734,443 14,674,466 7,390,527 14,674,466 0 Sales Taxes - ROT Portion 12,342,154 11,360,000 2,909,927 12,500,000 1,140,000 Sales Taxes - HMR Portion 1,285,012 1,346,000 277,209 1,346,000 0 Food and Beverage Tax 719,190 725,000 351,716 725,000 0 Real Estate Transfer Tax 853,617 800,000 413,326 800,000 0 Telecommunications Tax 2,168,091 2,600,000 540,848 1,900,000 (700,000) Other Utility Taxes 1,723,621 1,792,000 946,590 1,860,000 68,000 Other Taxes 221,281 255,500 102,145 250,000 (5,500) Vehicle Licenses 1,399,010 340,000 314,254 340,000 0 Other Licenses, Permits, Fees 2,050,366 2,004,000 808,908 2,004,000 0 State Income Tax 5,161,051 5,275,000 1,855,025 5,275,000 0 Other Intergovernmental 1,510,449 1,448,100 717,149 1,448,100 0 Charges for Services 1,631,445 1,516,000 704,728 1,516,000 0 Fines and Forfeits 439,405 491,000 234,621 440,000 (51,000) Investment Income 6,567 22,500 2,419 10,000 (12,500) Other Revenue 787,701 1,164,500 398,896 1,293,000 128,500 Total Revenues 45,033,402 45,814,066 17,968,286 46,381,566 567,500 Expenditures Public Representation 550,880 626,321 276,746 626,321 0 Village Manager's Office 2,817,368 2,633,208 1,212,928 2,833,208 (200 „000) Television Services Division 169,139 181,176 88,398 181,176 0 Village Clerk's Office 198,945 219,574 95,809 219,574 0 Finance Department 1,843,581 1,846,374 860,012 1,846,374 0 Community Development Dept. 2,023,299 2,332,932 992,479 2,332,932 0 Human Services Dept. 1,061,125 1,086,836 509,241 1,086,836 0 Police Department 15,783,922 16,535,251 7,697,028 16,535,251 0 Fire Department 12,678,982 12,879,787 6,072,914 12,879,787 0 Public Works Department 7,137,785 7,520,954 3,538,556 7,520,954 0 Emergency Events 204,860 107,000 87,919 175,000 (68,000) Miscellaneous 46,150 46,301 23,150 46,301 0 Total Expenditures 44,516,036 46,015,714 21,455,181 46,283,714 (268,000) Excess of Revenues over Expend. 517,366 (201,648) (3,486,894) 97,852 299,500 Other Financing Sources/Uses Transfers In 0 0 0 0 0 Transfers Out 0 0 0 0 0 Total Other Financing Uses 0 0 0 0 0 Excess of Revenues over Expend. and Other Financing Uses: 517,366 (201,648) (3,486,894) 97,852 299,500 Notes A B C C E F 1 of 2 Mid -Year Review - 2014.xlsx Exhibit Village of Mount Prospect, Illinois General Fund - Revenues and Expenditures 2014 Budget - Mid -Year Review Notes A The upward trend in the state portion sales tax has continued into 2014. The projection is based on only 3 months of receipts since there is a 3 -month lag in receiving the money from the State (standard lag time for this revenue source). Receipts are tracking 5.3% over the prior year through the first 3 months. Year -end receipts are expected to come in $1,140,000, or 1.3% higher than the amended budget and 10.0% higher than the PY. B The telecommunication tax saw a significant drop during 2013. The original budget for that year was $2.9 million. The actual amount received was just under $2.2 million. The downward trend continues with the revenue source into the current year. The estimate for 2014 was reduced further from the Q1 estimate (from $400,000 to $700,000) based on our revised projection. There is also a need to rebate approximately $112,000 as a result of a class action lawsuit against a large telecommunications carrier (AT &T Mobility). C The positive variance in other revenue was due to an insurance reimbursement for sprinkler flood damage that occurred in January 2014. The amount received from insurance after the $25,000 deductible was $128,000. Expenses related to the incident were adjusted accordingly. D General Counsel legal fees are expected to come in over the amended budget for 2014 by the variance amount. E Emergency events consist of the sprinkler flood mentioned in Note C. An initial budget amendment of $107,000 was done in March. An additional amendment of approximately $68,000 is expected after all expenses related to the event are paid. F Overall, revenues are anticipated to come in $567,500 over the amended budget while expenses are assumed to come in $268,000 above the budgeted amount. The General Fund had shown a deficit of $201,648 after amendment #1. Taking into consideration the adjustment in total revenues and expenses, the General Fund is now anticipating a surplus of $97,852. 2 of 2 Mid -Year Review - 2014.xlsx Exhibit II Village of Mount Prospect, Illinois General Fund - Revenues and Expenditures 2015 Forecast Expenditures Public Representation (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) Village Manager's Office 2,833,208 2014 2,816,709 2015 Forecast 0.00 Television Services Division 181,176 Current Original Current Increase Percent 219,574 224,654 Projections Forecast Forecast (Decrease) Change Notes Revenues: 0 0.00 Community Development Dept. 2,332,932 2,338,585 2,338,585 Property Taxes 14,674,466 15,757,664 15,757,664 0 0.00 0 Sales Taxes - ROT Portion 12,500,000 11,500,000 12,750,000 1,250,000 10.87 A Sales Taxes - HMR Portion 1,346,000 1,406,000 1,406,000 0 0.00 Public Works Department Food and Beverage Tax 725,000 730,000 750,000 20,000 2.74 175,000 Real Estate Transfer Tax 800,000 815,000 840,000 25,000 3.07 46,456 Telecommunications Tax 1,900,000 2,600,000 1,900,000 (700,000) (26.92) B Other Utility Taxes 1,860,000 1,820,000 1,860,000 40,000 2.20 859,000 Other Taxes 250,000 256,000 256,000 0 0.00 Vehicle Licenses 340,000 0 0 0 0.00 C Other Licenses, Permits, Fees 2,004,000 2,008,000 2,100,000 92,000 4.58 D State Income Tax 5,275,000 5,430,000 5,430,000 0 0.00 Other Intergovernmental 1,448,100 1,494,000 1,494,000 0 0.00 262,715 Charges for Services 1,516,000 1,527,000 1,600,000 73,000 4.78 D Fines and Forfeits 440,000 491,000 550,000 59,000 12.02 D Investment Income 10,000 22,500 22,500 0 0.00 Other Revenue 1,293,000 931,500 931,500 0 0.00 Total Revenues 46,381,566 46,788,664 47,647,664 859,000 1.84 Expenditures Public Representation 626,321 625,622 625,622 0 0.00 Village Manager's Office 2,833,208 2,816,709 2,816,709 0 0.00 Television Services Division 181,176 189,087 189,087 0 0.00 Village Clerk's Office 219,574 224,654 224,654 0 0.00 Finance Department 1,846,374 1,886,141 1,886,141 0 0.00 Community Development Dept. 2,332,932 2,338,585 2,338,585 0 0.00 Human Services Dept. 1,086,836 1,109,629 1,109,629 0 0.00 Police Department 16,535,251 17,056,841 17,056,841 0 0.00 Fire Department 12,879,787 13,309,021 13,309,021 0 0.00 Public Works Department 7,520,954 7,782,204 7,782,204 0 0.00 Emergency Events 175,000 0 0 0 0.00 Miscellaneous 46,301 46,456 46,456 0 0.00 Total Expenditures 46,283,714 47,384,949 47,384,949 0 0.00 E Excess of Revenues over Expend. 97,852 (596,285)_ 262,715 859,000 Other Financing Sources/Uses Transfers In 0 0 0 0 Transfers Out 0 0 0 0 Total Other Financing Uses 0 0 0 0 Excess of Revenues over Expend. and Other Financing Uses: 97,852 (596,285) 262,715 859,000 F 1 of 2 General Fund Forecast 2015 - Mid - Year.xlsx Exhibit II Village of Mount Prospect, Illinois General Fund - Revenues and Expenditures 2015 Forecast Notes A Projection based on 2014 estimate. Projection includes a 2.0% increase from the prior year. The increase is due to an overall positive trend in this revenue source. B Projection based on 2014 estimate. No growth is expected in the telecommunication tax for 2015. C The final portion of vehicle sticker revenue is to be reallocated to the Street Improvement Construction Fund in 2015. The reallocation is being done as part of the long -term funding plan for the street improvement program. Approximately, $1.0 million was reallocated during 2014. D The increase to these three revenue categories is the result of adjustments made to various license charges and fees done in the Summer of 2014. The adjustments were done to cover the cost of providing the service and bring them in line with neighboring communities. E Typically annual savings from the annual budget range from 1 -2 %. To be conservative, no assumption were made for the 2015 forecast. If the Village were to come in 1.0% below budget there would be a savings of $473,850. F The current 2015 Forecast Budget shows a surplus of $262,715, the result of higher projected revenues totaling $859,000. The Forecast Budget had originally shown a deficit of $596,285. The budget process for 2015 has started with departmental meetings to review budget requests scheduled for the first week in September. The Proposed 2015 Budget is expected to be delivered to the VB on October 10th. 2 of 2 General Fund Forecast 2015 - Mid - Year.xlsx Exhibit III VILLAGE OF MOUNT PROSPECT, ILLINOIS BUDGET CALENDAR 2014 and 2015 2014 DATE ACTION 2015 DATE 3/1/13 Capital Improvement Plan (CIP) Worksheets forwarded to Department Directors 3/7/14 3/15/13 Completed Computer CIP Worksheets returned to Finance Department 3/21/14 3/29/13 Remaining CIP Worksheets returned to Finance Department 4/4/14 4/23/13 Prior Year Budget Wrap -up and Preliminary Q1 Review 4/22/14 5/7/13 Department CIP reviews with Village Manger and Finance Director 5/6/14 to 5/9/13 to 5/8/14 5/17/13 Complete Proposed CIP Amounts 5/23/14 6/14/13 Deliver Proposed CIP to Village Board and Finance Commission 6/13/14 6/27/13 Review Proposed CIP with Finance Commission 6/26/14 7/9/13 Committee of the Whole - CIP Review Session 7/8/14 7/16/13 Acceptance of Proposed CIP at Village Board Meeting 7/15/14 7/10/13 Budget Kickoff Meeting - Access to Logos.NET Budget Software 7/16/14 8/13/13 Committee of the Whole - Mid -Year Budget Review and Pre - Budget Workshop 8/12/14 8/16/13 CIP available for distribution 8/15/14 8/9/13 Completed Departmental Budgets Advanced to Level 3 - Finance 8/15/14 8/9/13 Revenue Estimates completed by Finance Department 8/15/14 9/3/13 Personnel Budget Review 9/2/14 Exhibit III VILLAGE OF MOUNT PROSPECT, ILLINOIS BUDGET CALENDAR 2014 and 2015 2014 DATE ACTION 2015 DATE 9/6/13 Preliminary Budget Review - VMO and Finance 9/5/14 9/10/13 Department Budget reviews with Village Manager and Finance Director 9/9/14 to 9/12/13 Committee of the Whole - First Budget Hearing (7:00pm - 10:00pm) to 9/11/14 9/20/13 Complete Proposed Budget Amounts 9/19/14 10/11/13 Deliver Proposed Budget to Village Board and Finance Commission 10/10/14 10/11/13 Proposed Budget available for public inspection at the Village Clerk's Office and the 10/10/14 11/26/13 the Mount Prospect Public Library 11/25/14 10/17/13 Review of Proposed Budget with the Finance Commission 10/16/14 10/24/13 10/23/14 10/31/13 10/30/14 10/22/13 Committee of the Whole - First Budget Hearing (7:00pm - 10:00pm) 10/28/14 Overview, Departmental Presentations 11/12/13 Committee of the Whole - Second Budget Hearing (7:00pm - 10:00pm) 11/11/14 Departmental Presentations 11/26/13 Committee of the Whole - Third Budget Hearing (7:00pm - 10:00pm) 11/25/14 If Necessary 12/3/13 Truth in Taxation Public Hearing 12/2/14 12/3/13 First Reading of Proposed Budget Ordinance at Village Board Meeting 12/2/14 12/17/13 Public Hearing and Second Reading of Proposed Budget Ordinance at Village Board 12/16/14 Board Meeting 1/17/14 Approved Budget available for distribution 1/16/15