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HomeMy WebLinkAbout4.) 2016 Revised Forecast BudgetVillage of Mount Prospect, Illinois Total Village Budget - Revenues and Expenditures 2016 Forecast - Q1 Revenues: Property Taxes Other Taxes Licenses, Permits, and Fees Intergovernmental Revenue Charges for Services Fines and Forfeits Investment Income Reimbursements Other Revenue Other Financing Sources Total Revenues Expenditures: Personal Services Pension Benefits ContrEstimate Services Insurance Commodities and Supplies Other Expenditures Bond Principal and Interest Capital Interfund Transfers Total Expenditures Excess of Revenues over Expenditures 2015 2016 $ Change % Change Estimate Forecast from PY from PY 21,920,500 22,784,000 863,500 3.94% 13,396,074 13,547,868 151,794 1.13% 2,814,000 2,954,000 140,000 4.98% 23,396,497 23,998,267 601,770 2.57% 29,588,745 31,223,991 1,635,246 5.53% 614,250 614,250 0 0.00% 8,657,118 9,109,200 452,082 5.22% 233,500 235,500 2,000 0.86% 9,160,100 9,701,600 541,500 5.91% 30,000 20,000 (10,000) -33.33% 109,810,784 114,188,676 4,377,892 3.99% 41,572,017 42,774,876 1,202,859 2.89% 8,852,794 9,071,616 218,822 2.47% 22,559,632 23,041,816 482,184 2.14% 8,472,828 8,853,760 380,932 4.50% 2,218,487 2,247,675 29,188 1.32% 3,536,209 3,401,914 (134,295) -3.80% 5,868,652 6,035,399 166,747 2.84% 31,150,159 15,113,948 (16,036,211) -51.48% 0 0 0 124,230,778 110,541,004 (13,689,774) -11.02% (14,419,994) 3,647,672 -1- 18.067.666 2016 Revised Forecast Budget Total Village Budget — The 2016 Forecast Budget is currently showing total projected revenues of $114,188,676 and total projected expenditures of $110,541,004. The excess of revenues over expenses is reflective of the surplus earnings in the two public safety pension funds. These monies are not available for general village use. Total revenues forecast for 2016 are $114,188,676. This represents an increase of $4.4 million, or 4.0% from the prior year. Increases in the charges for service, investment income and other revenue categories attributed to the overall growth in revenue. The increase in charges for service is driven by the increases planned for refuse collection and water service. Increases in investment income are wholly attributable to expected earnings in the public safety pension portfolio. Increases in other revenues consist of public safety contributions in the form of property taxes. Included below is a pie chart illustrating the 2016 forecast for total village revenues by major revenue category. 2016 Total Forecast Budget - Revenue $9,701,600 $20,000 $235,500-e $22,784,000 �. $ 9,109,200 $614,250 $31,223,991 $23,998,267 1 $13,547,868 $2,954,000 Property Taxes w Other Taxes Licenses, Permits, and Fees X Intergovernmental Revenue Charges for Services Fines and Forfeits Investment Income Reimbursements Other Revenue -Other Financing Sources The property tax levy programmed into the 2016 Budget is 4.2% with the portion allocated for operations increasing 3.5% while the portion for debt service on municipal debt increased $17,102 or 0.7%. The projected increase to the portion of the levy allocated to public safety increased 7.0%. Please note that the tax levy (2015) included in the 2016 forecast is only a placeholder and is intended as a stepping off point for discussion. The decision on a final levy will not occur until after departmental budget presentations and is likely to change from this initial amount based on anticipated revenue growth, expenditure adjustments and final board action. Again, the figures presented here assume no reduction in revenue as a result of budget decisions made in Springfield. The spring legislative session is currently open. Governor Rauner and the legislature are crafting the State of Illinois budget for fiscal year 2015/2016. Depending on the outcome of the deliberations, there could be a significant loss in revenue to both the General Fund and the Motor Fuel Tax Fund seriously impacting operations and the street program, respectively. -2- 2016 Revised Forecast Budget Total expenditures forecast for 2016 are $110,541,004, a decrease of $13.7 million, or 11.0% from the amended 2015 budget. The decrease is primarily due to capital projects for flood control, water and sewer and general capital purchases being completed during the prior year. Included below is a pie chart illustrating contributions to total village expenses by major revenue category. 2016 Total Forecast Budget - Expenses $15,113,948 $6,035,399 " $3,401,914 ?. c $2,247,675 $8,853,760 $ 23,041,816 ' $9,071,616 -3- $42,774,876 Personal Services Pension Benefits ContrEstimate Services =Insurance ■Commodities and Supplies ■ Other Expenditures ■ Bond Principal and Interest Capital Village of Mount Prospect, Illinois General Fund - Revenues and Expenditures 2016 Forecast - Q1 Excess of Revenues over Expend. Other Financing Sources/Uses Transfers In Transfers Out Total Other Financing Uses Excess of Revenues over Expend. and Other Financing Uses: 124.585 30.069 70.069 40.000 124,585 30,069 70,069 40,000 —4— 2015 2016 Forecast Current Original Cui-rent Increase % Chang Projections Forecast Forecast (Decrease) from PY Revenues: Property Taxes 15,427,500 16,152,000 16,152,000 0 4.70% Sales Taxes - ROT Portion 13,418,000 13,771,000 13,771,000 0 2.63% Sales Taxes - HMR Portion 1,346,000 1,374,000 1,374,000 0 2.08% Food and Beverage Tax 755,000 770,000 770,000 0 1.99% Real Estate Transfer Tax 900,000 800,000 840,000 40,000 -6.67% Telecommunications Tax 1,650,000 1,650,000 1,650,000 0 0.00% Other Utility Taxes 1,860,000 1,885,000 1,885,000 0 1.34% Other Taxes 275,566 286,000 286,000 0 3.79% Other Licenses, Permits, Fees 2,027,000 2.020,000 2,020,000 0 -0.35% State Income Tax 5,200,000 5,280,000 5,280,000 0 1.54% Other Intergovernmental 1,567,827 1,521,800 1,521,800 0 -2.94% Charges for Services 1,623,000 1,660,600 1,660,600 0 2.32% Fines and Forfeits 439,000 439,000 439,000 0 0.00% Investment Income 5,918 6,000 6,000 0 1.39% Other Revenue 486,000 492,000 492,000 0 1.23% Total Revenues 46,980,811 48,107,400 48,147,400 40,000 2.48% Expenditures Public Representation 635,574 661,036 661,036 0 4.01% Village Manager's Office 3,111,828 3,183,010 3,183,010 0 2.29% Television Services Division 187,337 190,403 190,403 0 1.64% Village Clerk's Office 218,547 223,053 223,053 0 2.06% Finance Department 1,958,096 2,017,574 2,017,574 0 3.04% Community Development Dept. 2,347,767 2,379,087 2,379,087 0 1.33% Human Services Dept. 1,067,027 1,073,748 1,073,748 0 0.63% Police Department 16,554,256 17,022,027 17,022,027 0 2.83% Fire Department 12,979,579 13,382,328 13,382,328 0 3.10% Public Works Department 7,749,759 7,898,449 7,898,449 0 1.92% Miscellaneous 46,456 46,616 46,616 0 0.34% Total Expenditures 46,856,226 48,077,331 48,077,331 0 2.61% Excess of Revenues over Expend. Other Financing Sources/Uses Transfers In Transfers Out Total Other Financing Uses Excess of Revenues over Expend. and Other Financing Uses: 124.585 30.069 70.069 40.000 124,585 30,069 70,069 40,000 —4— 2016 Revised Forecast Budget General Fund —The original 2016 General Fund forecast budget showed a slight surplus of $30,069 on revenues of $47,107,400 and expenses of $47,077,331. While not significant, the projected surplus is a departure from previous forecast amounts that have typically projected a deficit. Our adjusted estimate for 2016 now projects a surplus of $70,069. In this early estimate, revenues for the real estate transfer tax are expected to come in higher than budget based on expectations for 2015. Revenues are now projected to come in at $48,147,400. This is $40,000 above the original forecast budget and $1.2 million or 2.5% over the prior year. Included below is a pie chart estimating General Fund revenues broken out by major revenue category. 2016 General Fund Forecast - Revenues $937,000 $1,660,600 \ $1,521,800 , :$5,280,000 $2,020,000 $15,145,000 $5,431,000 Property Taxes Sales Tax Other Taxes Licenses, Permits, Fees State Income Tax Other Intergovernmental Charges for Services Other Revenue The 2015 General Fund forecast budget for expenses is $48,077,331. Overall growth in General Fund expenditures from the prior is forecast to be $1.2 million or 2.6%. Beginning with the 2016 budget we start to see the structural imbalance with growth in revenues falling short of expenses (2.5% versus 2.6%). This imbalance will need to be addressed during the budget process for 2016/2017. To be conservative no assumptions were made to any expense category for the 2015 General Fund budget. The following pie chart illustrates a breakdown of estimated General Fund forecast expenses broken out by department. 2015 General Fund Estimate - Expenses $1,067,027,- $2,347,767 1,067,027..$2,347,767 $2,004,552 $3,517,712 $635,574 $7,749,759 Public Representation Village Manager's Office 'Finance Department $16,554,256 a Community Development N Human Services Dept. $12,979,579 Police Department Fire Department Public Works Department -5-